Cure your football betting withdrawal by profiting on NCAA college basketball
College basketball viewing and betting has had an explosion in popularity over the past several years. If you haven't noticed this, then go to Reno or Las Vegas for the opening weekend of March Madness sometime. Madness is the right word for the sports books during that time of year.
This angle takes advantage of the keen insight routinely shown by the line makers. In case you haven't already figured it out, the line makers are very, very good at what they do. With that out of the way, here is what we are looking for with this angle. We will bet on unranked teams who are playing home games against ranked teams. This doesn't happen that often, because a ranked team will usually (emphasis on usually) be the favorite. Remember, things are not always as they seem, and the line makers are never dumb.
Look to bet on teams that are either coming off a huge win or ugly loss. By huge win or ugly loss, we are referring to the number of points that a team won or lost by as opposed to the relative talent of the opponent or importance of the game. Teams that won or lost by a lot of points are unlikely to so for two consecutive games.
Revenge is one of the greatest motivational tools in existence. I would argue that neither people nor teams should be motivated by revenge, but the fact remains that both often are. You have to be careful when using a revenge angle, however, and make sure that a game really does have a revenge factor. A bad team that lost handily to a much better team does not have a revenge factor. A team that was losing badly, then had the score run up on it because the coaches traded barbs during the week of the game does have a revenge factor.
Beware of sucker plays. Sometimes you will observe a point spread that simply looks like it is too generous in favor of the chalk. There is only old saying in poker that if you're sitting at the table trying to figure out who the sucker is, the sucker is you. These seemingly over-favored favorites win all too often. Don't take the bait.
Look for teams that start their season with a long undefeated streak. In college hoops, we would be looking for about 10-0, or so. Once the undefeated team loses, bet against them in their next game. Sometimes teams lose because the have one bad game. Sometimes they lose because the other team is just better. Often, however, these teams lose because they are going out of sync for a period of time, or just haven't got the first loss out of their heads. At any rate, this is one of the oldest, and most profitable angles in sports betting and should be used whenever possible.
Scandals rock college sports every season. Whenever a scandal hits, coaches and school administrators try to downplay the severity of the problem. They can say whatever they want. The truth is that SCANDAL=HUGE DISTRACTION. When a scandal erupts during the season, bet against the affected team in the very next game.
Although it is well documented that underdogs offer more value than favorites, to make money in college basketball investing, you will have to play favorites some of the time. I look to bet home favorites when there is a strong home court advantage to justify it. It is not easy to go into an ACC gym and get a win.
Put these angles to work for you this college basketball. Are you ready to make some money?
Early season college basketball can be confusing. There are so many teams from so many conferences playing each other, that trying to handicap can get a little mesmerizing. Believe it or not, the easiest way to overcome the confusion is by some simple fundamental research.
Why bother to do this research? Because winning at sports betting is all about being prepared. If you are still reading, we assume that you want to be prepared. Here is an easy (relatively speaking) way to do it.
Good college basketball teams have good point guards. They don't have to have the best guards in the country, but it helps to have experienced players who have "been there" early in the season. Let the underclassman prove they can play before jumping on their bandwagon. Teams with more returning players tend to be sharper early in the season. Experienced teams play better defense, turn the ball over less, are physically stronger, and have more court savvy than their less experienced counterparts.
Teams with lots of underclassmen tend to struggle early in the season. Their players are still struggling to find their rhythm and precision. People don't really think about what a huge transition it is for freshman who play college basketball. Take the smart bet, and bet on experience early.
Sharp sports bettors always pay attention to things like injuries and various ineligibilities. This information is readily available all over the internet.
The team that really stands out in the early season year-after-year is Gonzaga University, located in Spokane, WA. Gonzaga is a mid-major school with an incredible basketball program. They don't have the best talent in the country by any stretch of the imagination. How many players have heard of Spokane, WA much less want to go there to play basketball? What they do have is lots of returning players, experienced players, and strong players who love to play defense. This season (2004-2005), Gonzaga - the Zags as they are widely known - have played Illinois, Washington, Oklahoma State, Georgia Tech and Missouri, going 3 and 2 against these ranked teams. This doesn't sound that impressive until you consider that they beat Oklahoma State and Georgia Tech in back to back games, and narrowly lost to Missouri - all on the road! Gonzaga epitomizes the opportunities that can be found in early season college basketball betting.
In real estate, the mantra is location, location, location. In early season college basketball, the mantra is experience, experience, experience.
As the basketball season progresses, the point spreads get tighter and tighter. Oh sure, the lines makers aren't perfect, but mistakes are much fewer and far between than they are earlier in the season. The good thing is that there is still a very powerful method available for those that wish to continue wagering on college basketball: The Teaser.
Teasers, for the uninitiated, are a bet that allows you to move the betting line in your favor to maximize your chances of covering the point spread. There are two types of college basketball teasers, two team teasers and three team teasers. For two team teasers, you may move the line 4, 4 ½ or 5 points in your favor. A three team teaser allows you to move the line 4, 4 ½, 5 or 7 points in your favor. The catch is, of course, that you must hit every game in the teaser to win.
The teaser becomes a much more important factor as the season progresses than it is earlier in the season. Early in the season, teams are still in the process of showing sports bettors and lines makers how good, bad or mediocre they are. The hyped teams are still either living up to the hype, or showing themselves to be overrated, while other Cinderella teams are emerging. Non-league games add to the intrigue as lines makers scramble to keep up with all the games, figure out what teams are good and bad, and how teams match up. This is the time to play straight bets (sides and totals) and even take advantage of errors in the line.
When conference play commences, point spreads and totals gradually improve in their accuracy as the teams and conferences shake themselves out. It becomes much easier to get a read on teams for players and lines makers alike. This is when the teaser comes into play. When February rolls around, the teaser should become a big part of your strategy for winning college basketball bets.
Imagine having a "pick 'em" game that you can tease to the home team's side by 5 or 7 points (depending on whether you are playing a 2 or 3 team teaser). Or, say you have some insight into a game and like a team if they are getting four points, but they are only getting two. Once again, the teaser is there for you.
The trick with playing teasers is to not fall into the trap of thinking that you can play marginal games. You must still have insight into the games you are betting on, and must never forget the concept of value. If you keep these important principles in mind, the teaser will be yet another tool for you to increase your winnings.