March Madness Action Betting Strategies

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When the NCAA March Madness Tournament arrives, you'll be armed and ready to break the bank with our March Madness Action Betting Strategies!

The Blanket Underdog Method

Here is a simple betting strategy that has yielded excellent long-term results. It is also a great way for the casual bettor to have lots of action on opening round NCAA Tournament games.

As its name implies, the strategy involves betting underdogs - all of the underdogs - on the first day of the tournament. Let's make sure that we are clear: Bet every single underdog on the first day of the NCAA Tournament. Not the first round, just the first day.

Over the past 15 years, betting on all of the underdogs in the first round of the tourney has yielded about 60 percent winners, well above the threshold needed for profit.

An angle like this should come as no surprise to the astute sports bettor. Any angle involving underdogs will bring with it a great deal of value. So what makes betting the underdog on opening day of March Madness such a good play? We can only theorize.

  • Many teams that reach the NCAA Tournament are both happy and lucky to be there. They may have had a dream season, or got hot at the right time. They are coming into the tournament on a 'high' and have no illusions about winning the whole thing. They are playing loose. For some teams, it may be there first national television exposure of the year. Teams playing relaxed and that have nothing to lose are very dangerous, while the favored teams often feel pressure to win.
  • In the first round of the NCAA Tournament, there is not a home court advantage. Games are played on a neutral court. Sure, the fans are rabid at any March Madness game, but it is not the same as playing on a home court. The wild crowd energizes both teams in the opening round. This is particularly true when the crowd gets behind the underdog in a tight game. Fans smell the upset and give the underdog an emotional lift.
  • During the season, teams from the same conferences play each other. Teams are able to scout each other frequently both live and on film. There is no such luxury during the NCAA Tournament. Teams are playing each other for the first time. Given this situation, it is very easy for a small conference team to sneak up on a ranked major conference team.
  • Some teams and conferences are notorious for underestimating their opponents. They don't give proper respect to their foes from the smaller conference. The end result, as we have seen year after year, are narrow victories and/or outright losses.

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